Flood Watch Tonight

RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) -- We've gained just about 10 degrees since this morning's update and kept our sticky mid-70 degree dew points. A bank of scattered clouds is shifting east across the state. This keeps with our clouds and sunshine, turning a little more shady as clouds build in the afternoon.

After the odd gusty thunderstorm yesterday, another round of localized severe thunderstorms looms this afternoon. Current mesoscale modeling depicts the area of coverage being a spotty line in the late afternoon through Charlotte and Greensboro before fizzling out south of the viewing area. More storms pop up around the NC/VA border during this time. The northern portion may end up redeveloping as thunderstorms spread across the northern and eastern viewing area all the way out to the coast. These thunderstorms could bring with them localized flash flooding in heavier downpours as well as some damaging wind gusts.. Shear isn't impressive enough to keep things sustained in the traditional
sense, meaning that this is likely an outflow generated/bounded setup. This also means that thunderstorms don't continue into the late night hours.

Tomorrow is a similar setup, albeit a little bit sunnier and brings another Heat Advisory.

Sunday ends up being cooler as things progress. Shortwaves will continue to ripple through the east as high pressure increases in central Texas. Concerning the moist pattern: the moisture brought up as the leftovers from the tropical rainstorm in the Gulf shouldn't bring too many impacts to us on the leeward side of the Appalachians beyond increased dewpoints for a time. The majority of that moisture gets shunted south by the pattern, with the real risk being the actual shortwaves themselves in terms of the generation of flooding downpours.

Expect a slightly cooler middle of the week with lower humidity on Tuesday compared to what we've been experiencing. Due to the pattern, most of the moisture in the air is being pushed south and east into the southwest Atlantic, where we may see some tropical development risk yet again.

Have a great weekend!

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